In today’s business landscape, whether your priority is energy efficiency, cost reduction, or sustainability, a successful long-term strategy relies on a degree of certainty about the future. When market conditions are volatile, a rigorous approach to data becomes more crucial than ever. Long-term uncertainty makes it challenging to plan and even harder to sell sustainability strategies within the wider business. However, a data-driven approach provides businesses with something tangible to build on.
The Role of Data and Analytics
For those looking to manage energy more effectively, data and analytics often focus on consumption, carbon emissions, and cost. Establishing baselines for all data sets and systematically tracking them as you make operational changes or implement new technologies is essential. This approach ensures you know what’s working, what isn’t, and why.
Addressing Energy Costs in New Zealand
With increasing pressure to control energy costs due to systemic market constraints in New Zealand, businesses must find ways to reduce energy usage. Simply absorbing costs is not a viable option. Understanding where your energy is going is crucial. By identifying operational inefficiencies, you can discover where savings can be made, helping you make smarter decisions.
Leveraging Real-Time Energy Intelligence
Combining self-powered, wireless sensors with real-time energy intelligence software provides the overview you need and allows you to analyse data to develop a data-driven strategy for the future. This approach can help mitigate costly downtime, reduce waste, enhance agility, and boost productivity.
Benefits Across Various Industries
Using end-to-end energy management tools to build energy intelligence offers benefits for various industries, types of operations, and facilities:
Industrial Manufacturers: Avoid equipment downtime by predicting failures, maximise energy savings, detect operational inefficiencies, and optimise overall equipment effectiveness. Typical results include reducing maintenance costs by 60%, equipment downtime by 50%, and equipment capital investment by 3-5% by extending the useful life of machinery.
Multi-Site Retail and Grocery Stores: Cut costs by reducing energy waste, optimise equipment and maintenance, enhance brand reputation through sustainability, and monitor the entire operation from one dashboard. Typical results include eliminating 30% excess energy consumption and a 10% reduction in energy costs, boosting net profit margins by up to 16%.
Commercial Buildings and Business Campuses: Predict failures and operational anomalies through real-time alerts, reduce energy waste, measure retrofit effectiveness, and continuously improve operational effectiveness. Typical results include cutting equipment maintenance costs by 40% and extending equipment lifetimes.
Panoramic Power: Your All-in-One Energy Intelligence Solution
Our expert team can help you unlock significant energy savings with a short-term return on investment (ROI). Typically, we can identify up to 25% savings with an ROI of less than 2 years.
We offer the easiest-to-install, and fastest for ROI energy management solution, that scales effortlessly from a few devices to full-site or multi-site operations. Experience actionable insights and real-time analytics that drive efficiency and sustainability. Our solutions work for everyone, helping your organisation kickstart cultural transformation towards a sustainable future.
If 2024 taught us anything, it’s that unpredictability is the new norm. From gas shortages and hydro lake levels nearing rock bottom to record highs and lows in pricing, the year had it all.
One thing is clear: the current market structure isn’t serving commercial and industrial customers well. Short-term issues have impacted long-term pricing, forcing customers to pay a premium for future energy, even when conditions might improve.
In a previous article, I delved deeper into how coal sets the overall price in a largely renewable energy grid. You can read more about it here.
Looking Ahead to 2025
As we step into 2025, hydro storage levels are at 85% capacity, which is 22% higher than usual for this time of year. Wholesale electricity spot pricing remains low, with thermal generation contributing only about 3-5% to the grid. Current prices are around 4-5c/kWh, a significant drop from last January’s 25c/kWh. However, with limited natural gas availability and coal firming the market, price volatility is more pronounced, especially during dry periods when wind generation drops.
Average Daily Wholesale Spot Pricing
The ASX Energy Futures Market
Forward market pricing remains stubbornly high on the ASX Energy Futures market, which sets the overall forward price for retail contracts for large commercial and industrial customers. The current quarter (Jan-Mar 2025) is priced around 12c/kWh in the North Island and 7.4c/kWh in the South Island.
The ASX Energy Futures market is dominated by the big four generators: Contact, Genesis, Mercury, and Meridian. These generators offer volume into the market for participants, which can include other generators, retailers, major energy users, or investment houses.
Long-Term Pricing Trends
Over the past year, long-term pricing on the ASX has steadily increased as natural gas supplies dwindle. The market seems to be factoring in more risk as coal becomes the dominant fuel for managing limited hydro storage.
North Island pricing for 2026, 2027, and 2028 has risen by 19%, 26%, and 11% respectively since January last year. Similarly, South Island prices have increased by 28%, 35%, and 14%. Notably, pricing for 2028 only became available on the market from October 1st last year. The forward price curve has also shifted from a staggered reducing price to an almost flat price within any given year.
North Island Pricing ASX Energy Futures
The Future of Firming Fuels
This trend suggests that coal will remain the firming fuel of choice for the foreseeable future, despite calls for liquid natural gas imports as a lower carbon emission option. The industry appears divided on future firming solutions, adding to the uncertainty.
As we navigate through 2025, staying informed and adaptable will be key to managing the ever-changing energy landscape.
Navigating the Future of Renewable Energy and Market Volatility
The announcement of new renewable generation projects is exciting, but it comes with its own set of challenges. Much of the new capacity is in solar and wind, both of which are intermittent and cannot be relied upon for firming. While battery storage is becoming more economically viable, it hasn’t reached the point where it can fully replace traditional firming methods. New hydro or geothermal developments, which could provide the necessary baseload generation to support intermittent sources, are facing lower priority due to high costs and resource consent issues.
What to Expect in the Coming Year
As we look ahead, the energy market is expected to remain volatile. Both Transpower and the Gas Industry Company have warned that natural gas production may fall below demand during the upcoming winter. This shortfall will likely keep energy prices unstable. Additionally, the commissioning of new generation projects is progressing slowly, meaning the reliance on fossil fuels for firming will continue in the short term.
Preparing for Contract Expiry in 2025
If your electricity contract is set to expire in 2025, it’s crucial to start planning early. Seeking market pricing well in advance of your contract’s expiry date allows you to set realistic budgets and mitigate the impact of short-term volatility.
Consider exploring solar options, whether on-site or off-site. Both approaches enable you to purchase solar energy as a commodity, reducing your exposure to price fluctuations in the broader energy market.
How Total Utilities Can Help
Total Utilities is here to assist you in navigating these complexities. We offer advisory services to help you evaluate your options and make informed decisions about your energy contracts and renewable energy investments. For more detailed advice, you can read our article on managing utility contract expirations here.
By staying proactive and informed, you can better manage the uncertainties of the energy market and make strategic decisions for your business’s future.
In the past three to five years, legislative changes have prompted many New Zealand businesses to evaluate their contributions towards the country’s net carbon zero targets. Despite their commitment to sustainability and reducing CO2 emissions, many companies find themselves stuck at the implementation stage due to a lack of necessary data.
The Importance of Data in Sustainability
The journey towards sustainability is fundamentally dependent on data. Data is crucial, from setting decarbonisation goals to determining the actions needed to achieve those goals and monitoring progress. Most sustainability projects involve significant investments in onsite energy generation, transitioning to renewable energy sources, diversifying the energy mix, or investing in more efficient machinery.
Granular data collected at the machine, process, and facility levels empowers decision-makers to justify their investments and confidently implement sustainability initiatives.
Establishing Baselines and Monitoring Progress
Once an investment decision is made, organisations need to establish baselines and monitor progress. Highly accurate IoT devices can measure energy use and emissions across critical machinery, creating a baseline for tracking progress and identifying areas for improvement. Monitoring energy consumption, operational efficiency, and emission levels allows organisations to set realistic, data-backed sustainability targets, monitor initiatives over time, and collect the data needed to meet reporting obligations.
Case Study: The Power of Data in Action
A national retail chain, a client of Total Utilities, demonstrates the power of data in action. The Panoramic Power Energy Intelligence solution helped identify out-of-hours energy waste equivalent to 51,000kg of Scope 2 CO2 emissions. By using Panoramic Power sensors to measure the energy consumption of their HVAC system, they identified an opportunity to optimise these assets during non-operational hours, achieving $105,000 per year in total energy cost savings.
Criteria for Effective Data Utilisation
For data to successfully drive sustainability initiatives forward, it must meet the following criteria:
Generate Insights: Organisations striving for net zero need more than just raw data; they need actionable insights. A robust data tool is required to generate these insights, allowing key stakeholders to visualise the full energy picture, identify sources of waste, and determine where interventions will have the most significant economic and environmental impact.
Be Readily Shareable: Companies worldwide often suffer from data silos, where relevant data does not reach those who need it for daily operations. A data tool that facilitates easy sharing across departments and stakeholders empowers both site and management levels to carry out their tasks efficiently and accurately.
Ease Reporting Obligations: Organisations face increasing pressure to collect and maintain accurate emissions and resource consumption data and report on decarbonisation efforts. A data-driven energy monitoring strategy provides a clear view of energy and carbon performance and generates detailed reports required for regulatory and legislative compliance with Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions.
Harness Energy Intelligence and Boost Your Sustainability Initiatives
When organisations have confidence in their data, they can better manage their energy use. Data will be the cornerstone of successful sustainability journeys going forward. By collecting, analysing, and acting on data-driven insights, manufacturing organisations can bridge the gap between commitments and implementation, achieve net-zero goals, and build a more sustainable future.
How Total Utilities Can Help
Our expert team can help you unlock significant energy savings with a short-term return on investment (ROI). Typically, we can identify up to 25% savings with an ROI of less than 2 years.
We offer the easiest-to-install, and fastest for ROI energy management solution, that scales effortlessly from a few devices to full-site or multi-site operations. Experience actionable insights and real-time analytics that drive efficiency and sustainability. Our solutions work for everyone, helping your organisation kickstart cultural transformation towards a sustainable future.
Imagine powering your organisation with clean, renewable energy while keeping costs under control. Well, a Solar Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) could help you achieve that.
A Solar PPA is a long-term contract allowing your business to procure electricity directly from a renewable power generator. This can consist of solar energy generated from on-site panels or offsite grid connected solar farms. This allows solar to be purchased as a commodity at a relatively low generation cost compared to forward energy market prices.
There are many different types of Solar PPAs–which I’ll discuss a little later in this article–so you can choose which type works best for your organisation.
Types of Solar PPAs
There are many different types of Solar PPAs, so you can choose which type works best for your organisation.
On-site PPAs
Commercial Solar PPA: This contract typically lasts 15 to 20 years and requires no upfront investment from you. The solar company takes care of everything—from designing and financing to building, operating, and maintaining the solar system at your site. You simply pay a fixed rate per kWh for the electricity generated, which is usually lower than the rates from the grid. This arrangement helps you reduce your reliance on carbon-intensive energy sources, maximise energy savings, and gain better control over your costs.
Private Wire PPA: Similar to the Commercial Solar PPA, this type utilises ground-mounted solar panels installed on nearby land. Electricity is transmitted directly to your site through a “private wire.” Like the Commercial PPA, it typically lasts 15 to 20 years and allows you to decrease your reliance on grid power while cutting costs and carbon emissions.
Off-site PPAs
Offsite PPAs are sourced from grid-scale generation assets, commonly categorised as “sleeved” or “virtual” PPAs. They offer several advantages over onsite PPAs:
The solar system can be built in optimal locations, ensuring higher efficiency.
Energy purchase amounts aren’t limited by your site’s capacity.
Contracts can be flexible, adapting to multiple sites or relocating if necessary.
Sleeved PPAs: Also known as corporate PPAs, these agreements involve you, an energy retailer, and an offsite renewable generation source. Typically, they are take-or-pay contracts, where you commit to purchasing a fixed volume of energy at a predetermined price. The retailer takes delivery of the renewable energy and incorporates it into your supply contract, often allowing up to 70% of your demand to be met by renewable sources. These contracts can range from 10 to 20 years, with shorter terms usually carrying a premium.
Virtual PPAs: Virtual PPAs, or synthetic PPAs, are structured as contracts-for-difference. They include a strike price for the generated electricity; if market prices fall below this price, you pay the generator the difference, and vice versa. This structure offers flexibility in the amount and location of energy supplied and can support multi-site models.
The New Zealand Energy Market
In New Zealand, the energy market is largely shaped by a handful of key players, with Contact, Genesis, Mercury, and Meridian accounting for around 90% of the electricity supply. This has historically limited options for large businesses seeking to secure energy directly from generators, as most businesses are seen as too small for generators to take notice. As a result, they have to deal with retailers where the cost of generation is defined by the market.
However, a wave of independent renewable energy companies is shaking things up. Collaborations like the recent partnerships between Ryman Healthcare, Mercury, and Solar Bay, or The Warehouse Group and Lodestone Energy, or Inghams and Lodestone Energy, are paving the way for organisations like yours to lock in long-term contracts at competitive rates.
How Total Utilities Can Help
Total Utilities offers PPA consultation services as part of our broader energy procurement solutions. As an independent advisor, we assess a wide range of options without bias, ensuring that we recommend the most suitable PPA strategy for your organisation.
To learn more about investing in an onsite or offsite Solar PPA, speak to our experts today.
New Zealand businesses are grappling with skyrocketing costs and energy inefficiencies in today’s turbulent market. But there’s good news on the horizon—hydro storage has surged significantly in the last week, offering a welcome shift.
At Total Utilities, we’ve teamed up with Panoramic Power to provide innovative solutions that help you take advantage of these changes and optimise your energy management.
Panoramic Power delivers a comprehensive, cloud-based energy management solution with mobile app access, offering the most cost-effective option on the market. With rapid ROI and customisable dashboards and reports, it’s tailored to meet your unique needs.
Let’s take a look at some of the key benefits of our powerful energy intelligence solution:
1. Illuminate and Eliminate Energy Waste
Many businesses are unaware of where they use energy within their plant or facility as utility bills don’t provide information relative to opening hours or production runs. Plus the data on the invoice is looking in the rear view mirror. Panoramic Power’s advanced monitoring technology provides real-time data relative to production schedules and operating hours to easily highlight the cost of energy waste.
2. Upgrade to Real-Time Energy Intelligence
Traditional energy monitoring often falls short as it cannot measure key devices and equipment. Our solution offers real-time insights into every piece of equipment, allowing you to monitor performance and prevent unnecessary downtime. You can track the hours your equipment runs, and immediately identify if it starts drawing more current than is expected. This allows for preventative maintenance and a proactive approach that ensures any issues are detected and resolved before they impact your operations.
3. Capitalise on Energy-Saving Opportunities
Missing out on energy-saving opportunities can be costly. Panoramic Power’s system sends timely alerts about potential savings and efficiency improvements, enabling you to act swiftly and reduce your energy costs. Stay ahead of the curve and maximise every opportunity to cut costs!
4. Implement Comprehensive Business Cases to Drive Change
One of the biggest stumbling blocks to implementing energy savings measures is inadequate data to build a comprehensive business case. Our continuous monitoring provides in-depth analysis of device level energy usage and cost, ensuring you have a complete understanding of your equipment’s running costs. This enables you to make informed decisions to enhance efficiency.
5. Address Minor Inefficiencies Before They Escalate
Small inefficiencies can accumulate and lead to significant costs. Panoramic Power helps you pinpoint and address these issues early, preventing them from becoming major problems and ensuring ongoing cost savings.
Why Total Utilities and Panoramic Power Are Your Partners in Innovation
At Total Utilities, we’re committed to finding innovative ways to help businesses like yours tackle rising energy costs. Our partnership with Panoramic Power offers you access to state-of-the-art energy intelligence technology that provides actionable insights and drives energy cost savings.
Ready to bring Energy Savings to light?
Take control of your energy costs with Total Utilities and Panoramic Power. Reach out to us today to discover how our advanced solutions can transform your energy management strategy and deliver substantial savings.
📩 Contact us now to explore how we can help you navigate the challenges of rising energy costs and implement effective, innovative solutions.
Richard Gardiner, Founder & Chairman of the Board at Total Utilities, shares his insights on the unfolding energy crisis in New Zealand. With years of industry experience, Richard delves into the causes, consequences, and future implications of this pressing issue.
Until six years ago NZ, was in the happy position of being self-sufficient for its electricity, natural gas, and LPG requirements.
Our electricity supply was already 80% to 85% renewable, based on a combination of hydroelectric, geothermal, solar, and wind power-based generation. An enviable position in an increasingly volatile world!
We were self-sufficient for our natural gas requirements too.
Overall, we were also self-sufficient when it came to LPG supplies – a net exporter for +/- six months of the year and a net importer for the rest of the year.
Seven years ago, the incoming Labour/Green Government banned all new offshore oil and gas exploration.
The background to this initiative is that political parties ranging from the Greens to ACT, all recognise that NZ is facing an ‘energy trilemma’. This trilemma centres on:
Sustainability considerations – decarbonisation in a climate change impacted world
Price and affordability considerations
Security of supply considerations
While the political parties disagree regarding the importance attached to specific components of the energy trilemma, they all agree that all three are vital to the wellbeing of our country.
Well-intentioned though the gas exploration ban may have been, its practical impact backfired badly on all three elements of the trilemma:
Sustainability negatively impacted – gas supplies already reduced by over a third with the resultant need that additional coal had to be imported for electricity generation at Huntly. Coal emits nearly twice as much carbon as natural gas on a kWh-for-kWh of energy delivered basis.
Electricity and natural gas wholesale and retail prices have rocketed, especially for time of use (TOU) business users.
While the four wholesale divisions of the big generator/retailers (gentailers) are making excellent profits, their retail divisions are not. Neither are the retail businesses of their smaller competitors like Electric Kiwi.
Security of supply considerations – the Winstone Pulp International example during the past week says it all as do the recent occasions when electricity supplies were very tight nationally. This should not happen in a First World country.
Compounding the above problems is the fact that:
Competition has largely collapsed in the current natural gas market. Amongst other things, previous major suppliers like Contact and Ongas have exited the market. Because of this, the option of importing liquified natural gas (LNG) is now being considered.
With LPG, an announcement during the past month confirmed that one of the major LPG suppliers is selling its LPG division to a competitor. Furthermore, as we are no longer self-sufficient for LPG supplies, NZ customers will be more exposed to international LPG price hikes, based on changes in the Saudi Aramco index and fluctuations in the NZD:USD exchange rate.
The implications of the above include:
Electricity and gas procurement is no longer a one-off exercise every two or three years. It is an ongoing process.
The contract review process needs to start much earlier, in terms of existing contract expiry dates, than used to be the case.
Merely signing a new three-year Supply Agreement is not necessarily the best thing to do now.
Opportunities may exist for a short-term supply arrangement to ‘buy time’ for signing up to a longer-term Supply Agreement, as and when a suitable opportunity occurs in the market.
With hydro-electricity accounting for 60% plus of total national electricity generation and our hydro-electric dams only having six or seven weeks storage capacity cover, there is always going to be a degree of volatility in our electricity supply. But this volatility has been significantly compounded since 2017 by our reduced fossil fuel-based generation and inadequate replacement renewable-based generation to ‘plug the gap’.
The bottom-line for electricity and natural gas/LPG business customers is that they need to adapt to the reality of drastically increased prices, tight supply and generally adverse market conditions.
Please contact us if you have any questions on the above.
